UFC 232 Odds
Fighter Bullet Points
- Jon Jones (22-1-0, 1NC) has not fought since July 2017, when he won and was later stripped of the Light Heavyweight Championship
- Amanda Nunes is trying to become the first woman to hold two champions in two-weight classes simultaneously
- Cris Cyborg has won 21 straight MMA fights (with one in the middle later declared a no-contest)
- Nunes has three successfully defended her Bantamweight Championship three times
- Alexander Gustafsson is 0-2 in Light Heavyweight Championship fights
Men’s Light Heavyweight Title Fight Predictions
Even with a year and a half off (due to steroid suspensions) Jon Jones enters this fight as the favourite. While the lengthiness of his absence does raise some questions, MMA odds are focusing on his dominance in the ring over his career. Jones is one of the best fighters in the history of the UFC. He strikes with the power of an ultra-heavyweight, but with the speed of a flyweight.
Jones is not just a striker, but a well-rounded right. Only nine of his 22 wins have come by knockout (with six by submission and the rest by decision). One of those decision victories came against Alexander Gustafsson (at UFC 165 for the Light Heavyweight Championship).
Since that fight, Gustafsson has only five fights under his belt, going 3-2 (with one of those losses again for the Light Heavyweight Championship) and has not fought in a longer time than Jones (by about two months). Gustafsson will provide a good fight, the skill of James Jones, his 5.5-inch reach advantage and the fact Gustafsson absorbs too many hits makes Jones the better bet on Saturday.
Pick: Jon Jones (-190) to Win the Light Heavyweight Championship
Women’s Featherweight Title Fight Predictions
If you ever were to debate who the greatest women’s fighter in MMA history is Cris Cyborg would be on the shortlist, if not atop the rankings. Cyborg has one loss in her professional MMA career (which was her first pro fight back in 2005).
Cyborg wallops her competition, winning 17 of her 20 wins by KO or TKO. Her power is nearly unprecedented for the women’s division. UFC odds have her heavily favoured to retain her title.
While Amanda Nunes is moving up 10lbs to fight Cyborg, Nunes has a small advantage in reach and leg reach. The biggest question though for Nunes entering the fight is whether the extra weight will impact her quickness. Nunes will need to use her grappling skills to slow down and control the match against Cyborg if she has any chance of winning.
While that strategy could work against many fighters up one weight division, Cyborg is nearly impossible to take to the ground, defending 91% of all opponent takedown attempts.
Overall, betting against Cyborg, even if MMA sportsbooks have her around -310 to win, is a fool’s errand. Bet on Cris Cyborg to continue her historic MMA run and defend her Featherweight title in Las Vegas on Saturday night.
Pick: Cris Cyborg (-310) to defend Featherweight Championship
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