Andrew Wilson |  Fri 06/04/2018 - 15:39 EDT

UFC 223: Odds Preview and Predictions

UFC 223: Odds Preview and Predictions
After absolute insanity transpired on Thursday, with Conor McGregor attacking a bus full of UFC fighters and officials, UFC 223 is turning into one of the most bizarre and interesting events in recent history. The Pettis-Chiesa is no longer happening due to injuries to Chiesa during the attack. Neither is the Khabib-Holloway fight, as Holloway was deemed medically unfit. While the rest of the main card remains intact, the main story going forward is the future of McGregor and how his arrest affects the UFC.

UFC 223 Preview And Predictions 

The intrigue around UFC 223 is closing in on fever pitch this week, as Conor McGregor was stripped of his lightweight title. The belt was up for grabs between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Max Holloway. However, Holloway was deemed medically unfit to fight. The more significant story may surround what happened Thursday night. McGregor did not deal well with his belt being taken, as him and a crew of friends attacked the bus containing Nurmagomedov.

Nurmagomedov was involved in a minor incident with Artem Lobov on Tuesday. Lobov was involved in the incident on Thursday and will no longer fight at UFC 223. Some wonder if this fight was staged. However, with three matches now off the card due to the incident on Thursday, the likelihood of what transpired on Thursday being anything but a malicious act seems unlikely.

The women’s Strawweight Title is also in play this weekend (now the sole main event), a rematch between Rose Namajunas and Joanna Jedrzejczyk. The fight between Zabit Magomedsharipov and Kyle Bochniak moves up to the main card (to fill the absence left by Pettis-Chiesa fight). 

Pettis is now slated to fight Nurmagomedov. However, it is almost too late to make any rational prediction on that fight, although Nurmagomedov should win and is a good pick once the odds are available. Overall, the last 24 hours in the UFC will not soon be forgotten.

Al Iaquinta vs. Paul Felder

Starting the main card off is a fight between two lightweights trying to climb the rankings. The odds for this fight are even as both fighters have similar styles, success in the UFC. Felder has a height advantage, but the two fighters are even in reach and leg reach.

Iaquinta is a quicker striker, but weaker at defending strikes. Neither fighter relies on submissions or the ground game. With these two fighters matching up so evenly, a three-round fight decided by decision is a good wager. Iaquinta has more momentum, winning five straight contests to climb to 11th in the lightweight rankings. Look for Iaquinta to control the match and win by decision.

Pick: Al Iaquinta by Pts or Technical Decision (+250) at Sports Interaction 

Zabit Magomedsharipov vs. Kyle Bochniak

No fighter is a more significant favourite on Saturday night than Zabit. The 14-1 Russian has the majority of advantages in the fight, including six inches in height and three inches in reach. Zabit has a complete fight repertoire, efficient in striking and the ground game.

Bochniak is a reasonable defender but lacks the accuracy to score enough points to pull off the upset. Bochniak is a known for his stamina and ability to last three rounds. However, as mentioned earlier, he just will not have a good enough fight against Zabit to win on Saturday.

Pick: Zabit Magomedsharipov (-775) at Sports Interaction

Renato Moicano vs. Calvin Kattar

One of the best fights on the card features two ranked featherweights trying to move into the title fight conversation. Kattar enters as a small favourite over Moicano. Kattar is 18-2 in his MMA career and undefeated in his two UFC bouts. Kattar is an excellent striker, although he does sacrifice some defence to land a higher amount of significant strikes.

Moicano is coming off his first professional loss (losing by submission to Brian Ortega at UFC 214). Moicano’s style is based on stamina and takedowns. Moicano is a better defender than Kattar. If he can withstand the barrage of strikes Kattar throws at him, he has a good chance at winning.

Arguably, the toughest fight to predict, Kattar’s ability to stay on his feet may be the biggest factor to consider. In Kattar’s last eight professional fights (all wins), Kattar won seven by decision and one by TKO. If Moicano were a better striker, he would be able to open up Kattar’s body more for takedowns. However, his style is not built for great success against a fighter like Kattar.

Pick: Calvin Kattar (-140) at Sports Interaction

Rose Namajunas vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

In a rematch from UFC 217, Rose Namajunas makes her first title defence, against the woman she beat to win the Strawweight Championship. Namajunas won the last fight in the first round by TKO (punches). The odds are about even in this fight, with Jedrzejczyk being the slightest of favourites (-120 odds to win, Namajunas -110 odds to win) to recapture the title.

Jedrzejczyk only professional loss came against Namajunas at UFC 217. Prior to the defeat, Jedrzejczyk defended the title five times (with the last four coming through unanimous decisions). Jedrzejczyk should take a different approach against Namajunas on Saturday night, with a focus on protecting much better against her significant strikes.

Namajunas will likely need to utilize her ground game if she wants to retain the championship. In her UFC career, three of Namajunas five victories have been by submission. Jedrzejczyk’s overall success in MMA points towards a much better performance on Saturday night.

Namajunas caught Jedrzejczyk off guard at UFC 217 and will likely not be able to employ the same strategy on Saturday. Take Joanna Jedrzejczyk to have a much better outing in the octagon and recapture the championship.

Pick: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-120) at Sports Interaction 

Category : Sports

Tag : MMA , UFC

Join The Conversation
More articles...
Sports - 18/09/18
Best Picks for NFL’s Week #3 
Week 3 of the 2018 NFL season sees some great NFL betting lines and matchups. Plenty of Conference crossover games fill the schedule this weekend. As these teams only play once every four years, the lines on some of these games offer great betting opportunities. Find the best against the spread, moneyline and over/under bets for Week 3 of the NFL season here.
Read this article 
Sports - 11/09/18
Best Picks for NFL’s Week #2 
After some exciting football, shocking results and big upsets, it is now time to gear up for Week 2 of the 2018 NFL season. With 16 games on the schedule, there are many betting options available. Based off the numbers, matchups, history and relevant players involved, we have best against the spread, moneyline and game total bets for Week 2 of the 2018 NFL season.
Read this article 
Sports - 05/09/18
Who will win the 2019 NFL Super Bowl? 
As the 2018 National Football League season is set to kick off in this weekend, it is time to get in some wagers on what team will win Super Bowl LIII. Many online sportsbooks serving Canadians have the New England Patriots as the prohibitive favourites. However, the 2018-19 NFL season looks like it will be one of the most competitive seasons in the NFL in quite some time.
Read this article 
Sports - 29/07/18
2018 NFC West Outright Odds, Preview and Prediction 
The NFC West does not get the credit deserves. The Division features some of the best running backs, young quarterbacks and defensive players in the NFL. Even with all the talent, the Division is often overlooked. Hopefully, you remember to pay attention to the Division in 2018, as the young talent is emerging, making a few teams hopefully for the postseasons and even the Super Bowl. The Rams are the best team, but the 49ers and Seahawks both make arguments they can win the Division in 2018.
Read this article