Andrew Wilson |  Tue 14/05/2019 - 09:38 EDT

Preakness Stakes 2019 Predictions

Preakness Stakes 2019 Predictions
After a controversial Kentucky Derby, the second stage of the Triple Crown, the Preakness Stakes, is ready to go on May 18.

With a smaller field of horses running the primary race (and better weather in the forecast), the 2019 Preakness should not end in the same fashion as the first leg of the Triple Crown. However, with all the zaniness that occurred at the Kentucky Derby two weeks earlier, this year’s Preakness is shaping into a difficult one to predict.

Predictions at the Preakness

With an open (and still undecided) field and attractive odds on multiple horses, the 2019 Preakness is hoping to stabilize the 2019 Triple Crown after the debacle that happened at the 2019 Kentucky Derby. However, as the dust from the Derby has yet to settle, there are a few lingering questions to look into before placing any bets on the second leg of the 2019 Triple Crown.

Will Maximum Security Race at the Preakness?

After becoming the first horse in history to win the Kentucky Derby and then be disqualified, it is uncertain whether Maximum Security will race the 2019 Preakness. Odds (with action) on Maximum Security have the horse as the favourite to win the 2019 Preakness with most online sportsbooks giving Maximum Security odd of +120 to win at the Preakness.

All the uncertainty though around Maximum Security should have bettors wary entering the second stage of the Triple Crown. In addition, with 2019 Preakness odds on the horse offering a small return, there are other horses worth focusing on at Pimlico.  

Is Country House staying Home?

Another horse still determining whether he will race at the Preakness is 2019 Kentucky Derby winner Country House. Country House was a massive longshot to win the Derby at +6400. Since it is uncertain if Country House will race, many online sportsbooks are delaying releasing odds on the Derby winner. Some odds that are available (with the bet void if the horse opts to stay home) having his odds of winning the Preakness at +2000. Even if that is a good value for the Preakness (which has a smaller field than the Derby), Country House is coming off a busy schedule and may not have the stamina or pedigree to snag a win at the second leg of the Triple Crown.

The Favourite (and best bet) if Maximum Security Withdraws

If Maximum Security does not participate in the race on Saturday, then the Vegas Preakness Stake odds leader is Improbable. Going into the Kentucky Derby, Improbable finished first or second at his last five races. The terrible conditions hurt Improbable at the Derby, where the horse only mustered a fourth place finished.

However, two weeks later, with clearer skis and a smaller field, Improbable should perform much better. Improbable’s trainer, Bob Baffert is the most successful trainer at the history of the Preakness. Baffert has trained seven horses to wins at the event, including last year’s winner Justify and 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharaoh.

As the competition level for the 2019 Preakness remains cloudy, betting on recent success and a horse with excellent pedigree is the best wager to make for the race on Saturday.

Pick: Improbable +200 to Win the 2019 Preakness

The Underdogs – Who Else is Worth a Wager on Saturday?

One horse entering the Preakness on a hot streak is Alwaysmining. At +700, Alwaysmining is not the favourite to win but the horse offering the best value at the race. Alwaysmining enters the race on a six-race winning streak, with one of those wins coming by over 11 lengths (at Federico Tesio in April). While some will point to the fact Alwaysmining has not faced the toughest competition over his winning streak, he is still worth following going into the race, especially if some horses opt out.

Pick: Alwaysmining +700 to Win the 2019 Preakness

If Alwaysmining is not striking an interest due to the competition he has faced in his racing career, then Bourbon War is a horse worth a wager. Preakness odds on Bourbon War are opening around +900 on most Canadian sportsbooks. Bourbon War owns an impressive pedigree in his career. In Bourbon War’s last five races, the horse has two wins, one second and two fourths.

Bourbon War’s trainer Mark A. Hennig is quite successful in his career, helping some of his further horses win at Pimlico (although never the Preakness). He should have Bourbon War ready to race and maybe pull off the upset in Baltimore on Saturday.

Pick: Bourbon War +900 to Win the 2019 Preakness

Find the Best Online Sportsbooks to bet on the Preakness Stakes and plenty of other exciting horse racing events.

Category : Sports

Tag : Horse Betting , Horse Racing , horse racing odds , Horse Racing Picks , Preakness Stakes , Preakness Stakes Odds , Preakness Stakes Picks

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