NBA Finals 2019 Odds and Picks
Tied at one game apiece, the 2019 NBA Finals shift from Canada to Oakland, where the Golden State Warriors now hold home court advantage.
The Warriors are the Vegas odds favourite to win the 2019 NBA Finals after the Toronto Raptors let one slip away in Game Two. However, the health of the Warriors is concerning, meaning the Raptors have a good chance at betting the two-time NBA Champions in Oakland (regaining them home court and improving their odds of winning the title).
Odds to Win NBA Finals after Game 2
- Golden State Warriors -227
- Toronto Raptors +175
Injuries a Concern for Golden State
The looming effect over the 2019 NBA Finals odds is the health of Kevin Durant. Durant, he may do down as one of the greatest scorers in NBA history, remains a question mark for these finals. While the Golden State Warriors have won without Durant, his abilities and scoring are a pivotal part of Golden State’s juggernaut status.
When he returns, many expect a shift in the series. However, for those ready to jump on the Warriors bandwagon, it is essential to remember how the pace and physicality of the NBA Finals can affect a player. Look at Boogie Cousins. Cousins, minus some decent passing, looked like a shell of himself in Game One. However, in Game Two, Cousins was possibly the best player on the floor.
While, Durant overall is a better player, a month off (Durant’s last game was May 8 against the Houston Rockets), it takes some time to adjust to the speed and contact of an NBA Finals game.
Along with Durant, the Warriors have other injuries. Klay Thompson is questionable for Game Three, and Kevon Looney may not play again in the series. Without those players, the Warriors are exceedingly thin, and the Raptors have a much better chance at pulling off the upset.
Raptors Need Kawhi to be the Best Player in the World
Even though the Toronto Raptors have found success this postseason when other players lead the team, they need Kawhi Leonard to play like the best player in the world for them to win the NBA Finals. For Kawhi to be the best player in the world, the players around him need to step up on defence. The Raptors defence has been good enough against the Warriors to keep them in games.
With the potential of three Warriors not playing on Wednesday, Kawhi could have a lighter load in Game Three than in previous games. With less defensive responsibilities, Kawhi can perform more efficiently on offence. Kawhi has not shot his best in the first two games of the 2019 NBA Finals. Kawhi is only shooting 33% from three in the first two games of the Finals, after hitting over 40% of his three in over the first three rounds of the playoffs.
Expect better from Kawhi in Game Three and look for the superstar to keep the Raptors fighting over the rest of the series.
Pick: Toronto Raptors to Win 2019 NBA Finals +227
Updated Finals MVP Odds
- Steph Curry -150
- Kawhi Leonard +275
- Draymond Green +450
- Pascal Siakim +1600
- Klay Thompson +2000
- Kevin Durant +2800
- Andre Iguodala +6600
- Fred VanVleet +8000
- Kyle Lowry +10000
- Marc Gasol +12600
- Serge Ibaka +20000
- Field (Any other player) +2000
Looking at the players on the list, the best value NBA Finals MVP odds is on Draymond Green at +450. Green has been outstanding in two games, putting up nearly two triple-doubles to start the series. His defence vastly improved in the second game, stifling Pascal Siakim and helping out on Kawhi Leonard after Klay left the game due to injuries.
Pick: Draymond Green to Win NBA Finals MVP +450
Game Three Preview
As the series shifts to Oakland, the health of the Golden State Warriors remain the top headline going into Game Three. The Warriors could be without the services of Klay Thompsons and Kevin Durant in Game Three (and will not have Kevon Looney are their bench).
The health of the Warriors means this is a must-win game for the Raptors. When Durant returns, most likely in Game Four, NBA Finals betting odds are going to shift even more in favour of the Golden State Warriors.
Minus about a seven-minute stretch in the third quarter of Game Two, the Raptors have looked like the better team in the series. They have played great at both ends of the court. Their depth has been stellar in the last few games of the postseason. Fred VanVleet is as great of an on-ball defender on Steph Curry as any NBA player this season. If he can get hot again in Game Three, the Raptors are tough to beat.
As long as the health of the Warriors is uncertain, the Raptors are the better bet to win Game Three.
Pick: Toronto Raptors +190 to Win Game Three of the 2019 NBA Finals
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