FIFA World Cup Top Goal Scorer Odds Update
Top Goal Scorer History
In the previous ten World Cups (dating back to 1978), no player has scored more than seven goals in the tournament. Eight Seven goals happened once (in 2002), while the top goal scorer has finished with six goals in seven of the last ten tournaments.
Five goals led the tournament in 2006 and 2010. In fact, in 2010, four players tied with five goals (marking the first time since 1994, more than one player finished as the top goal scorer at the World Cup). It is important to note that in a year where multiple players try for the lead in goals, the Golden Boot Award will go to the player with the fewest games played.
Top Goal Scorer Favourites at the 2018 World Cup
After watching the first few days of the tournament and considering the possible finishes for each Nation, there is one obvious favourite to be the top goal scorer at the 2018 World Cup. Cristiano Ronaldo. World Cup sportsbooks feel the same way as most have listed him as the favourite to win.
Anyone who follows soccer should not be surprised to see Ronaldo leading any type of soccer competition or league in goals. He is arguably the greatest scorer of his generation and has proven his scoring capabilities at every level of competition.
Another factor leading to Ronaldo’s position atop the odds is the health and struggles of other top players through the early goings of the tournament. Lionel Messi (who opened as the favourite on many soccer sportsbooks) could not muster up anything in his opening game, while Neymar (frequently in the top-five in odds) does not seem healthy enough to lead the tournament.
Why Ronaldo Will be the Top Scorer at the 2018 World Cup
Besides putting up a hat trick against arguably the best keeper in the world – Spain’s David de Gea – Ronaldo followed it up with his fourth goal of the in the fourth minute of Portugal’s 1-0 over Morocco. With four goals in two games, Cristiano Ronaldo likely would only need to net two more goals in the tournament to take home the Golden Boot award (or at least finished tied for the top spot in goals at the 2018 World Cup).
Cristiano Ronaldo ends the Group Stage of the tournament with a match against Iran. Like Morocco, Iran ranks in the lower tier of 2018 FIFA World Cup teams and do not have a talented enough roster to likely keep Ronaldo off the scorer’s sheet.
Portugal is also poised to draw a reasonable easily opponent in the Round of 16, theoretically giving the superstar a minimum of three more opportunities to add on to his four goals. If all works out well for the Portugal team, they could advance even further in the tournament, however predicting that far ahead is a risky business right now.
All things considered, Ronaldo entering his third game of the World Cup with four goals, give him the best chance of leading the tournament in scoring.
Why Ronaldo Will Not be the Top Scorer at the 2018 World Cup
If the Portugal team is knocked off by Iran and Spain beats Morocco, then Portugal and Ronaldo’s tournament is over after just three matches. While this outcome is unlike, it would undoubtedly slash Ronaldo’s chances of leading the competition in scoring, even if he goes home with five goals in only three games. Overall though, it is hard to bet against the world’s best pure scorer.
Other Players Who Could Lead the World Cup in Goals
While Ronaldo’s four goals have bettors and soccer fans abuzz, he is not the only player lighting up scoreboards at the tournament. And although Ronaldo is a great bet to lead the tournament in goals, with the recent changes in odds, some bettors may want to look elsewhere to find a better value. Here are some other players that could finish the World Cup as the top goal scorer.
A few other players could challenge Ronaldo for the honour of top goal scorer at the 2018 FIFA World Cup. One of the best options is Harry Kane. The English footballer netted two goals in England’s first game and had a great chance to increase that total against a weak Panama squad.
Harry Kane and England are all but guaranteed to advanced on in the tournament (as a loss to Panama would fit in the category of biggest World Cup upsets ever), giving Kane a path into the Knockout Stage. Kane is also the first English football player to score two goals in a World Cup since Gary Lineker. Lineker is the only English player to win the Golden Boot, doing so at the 1986 World Cup with six goals in five matches.
Diego Costa is the other player to wager on will lead the tournament in goals. While dependence on the audience, most would agree Ronaldo and Kane are better goal scorers, Costa is on the team with the greatest overall tournament prospects. Even after relieving their manager just days before the tournament start, Spain remains one of the top teams to win the World Cup.
Costa already has three goals to his name this tournament, and given Spain’s chances of playing into mid-July, he should increase that total. What does hold Costa back is Spain style of play is not entirely as dependent on the offence. Still, with three goals at more odds looking around +500, picking him over Ronaldo is a route to go.
The big long set to consider a small wager on is Mexican winger Hirving Lozano. Lozano at +8400. Lozano scored the lone goal in Mexico’s 1-0 win over Germany. The remainder of Mexico’s draw is favourable with games against Sweden and South Korean.
Hirving Lozano scored four goals for Mexico in World Cup qualifiers and scored 17 goals for his Dutch club last season (sixth most in the league). If Mexico can pull off another upset as they did over Germany, they should have a lengthy run in the tournament and could see Hirving finish as one of the tournament’s top goal scorers.
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