2019 UEFA Champions League Finals Betting Preview
Liverpool F.C. opens as the favourite over the Tottenham Hotspur at the 2019 Champions League Finals (at Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid). Unlike many Finals, these two teams are very familiar with each other, making for what is set to be exciting and likely close Finals.
2019 UEFA Champions Finals Matchup Stats
- Liverpool won both games against Tottenham in the EPL this year
- Both games ended with a 2-1 score
- Liverpool 5-3 in Championship League Finals
- 2019 marks Tottenham’s first appearance in the Finals
- Liverpool 82-42-48 all-time (since 1909) against Tottenham
What each team needs to win in Madrid on Saturday, June 1.
Liverpool – Big Moves to Avoid a Repeat of Last Year
Everyone who watched the 2018 Champions League Finals last year remembers the absolute meltdown Liverpool’s keeper endured. To avoid a repeat performance, Liverpool went out and acquired Roma’s keeper (as well as the keeper for the Brazilian National Team) Alisson Becker (also referred to as only Alisson).
Allison Becker did not disappoint in his first season with Liverpool. Becker won the Premier League Golden Glove award with 21 clean sheets (only three off the league record) while adding five more clean sheets in 12 Champions League matches. His performance in the second leg against Barcelona was instrumental for Liverpool advancing to their second consecutive UEFA Champions League Finals.
Tottenham – Need Harry Kane to Be Best Player in the Game
For Tottenham, their success is dependent on forward Harry Kane. Kane is the top goal scorer per game (0.70), in the history of the English Premier League and the most important part of Tottenham’s success this season.
Kane missed time this season due to an injury to ligaments in his ankle. During his time off the pitch, the Spurs handled their business fine, but the competition over those games was much lower than the challenge they face in Liverpool. For Tottenham to pull off the upset on Saturday, they need everything they can get out of Kane, and even then, that may not be enough.
After allowing weak goals and failing to match Real Madrid’s ability to score, the transfers and player development achieved by Liverpool in the last calendar have them poised to win the 2019 UEFA Champions League Finals.
While arguably Tottenham’s Harry Kane is the best player in the match, Liverpool’s top goal scorers, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane can match Englishmen (and together best him in scoring abilities). That leaves it up to depth, which Liverpool trumps Tottenham.
Historical data as well points to Liverpool winning. Liverpool swept the season series in the English Premier League. The numbers are even more in Liverpool when looking at the results of the Harry Kane and Mauricio Pochettino (Tottenham’s manager). Since Pochettino took the managerial job for the Spurs and promoted Kane to the team’s top-striker, Liverpool is 4-4-1 against the Spurs, with their only loss coming back in October 2017.
With time off between games, both teams are healthy, which makes Liverpool even more dangerous. While a blowout is not the likely result, Liverpool controlling most of the game and winning in regulation is the best wager to place on the 2019 UEFA Champions League Final.
Pick: Liverpool to Win in Regulation (-121)
Other Bets to Make
Outside of picking the winner of the game, there are some additional soccer betting options to consider making the on 2019 UEFA Champions League Finals.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Whether it is the neutral site or the time to prepare, the UEFA Champions League Finals tend to end up on the higher score side. Over the last eight Finals, six have gone over 2.5 goals, and on two occasions the game total ended with five goals scored.
Current soccer odds on online sportsbooks are offering even odds on the over and under. While Liverpool’s goaltender is excellent, the historical precedence of high scoring Finals makes the over the better bet on Saturday.
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-115)
Which Teams will Score?
For bettors confident in Liverpool winning, and winning with a clean sheet, the betting on Liverpool FC as the only team to score is another bet to consider. While this bet usually is not highly recommended, as the last time a team was shutout in the Finals was 2010, Liverpool’s defensively abilities are on a historical level.
Liverpool conceded just 22 goals in the EPL this year (seven off the league record). The time off between matches will have Liverpool’s defence looking top-notch. If they can carry over what they did in the second leg against Barcelona, they can shutout and blowout Tottenham.
Pick: Liverpool Only Team to Score (+214)
Find the best online sportsbooks below for betting on the upcoming Champions League Finals and other soccer matches.
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