Best NFL Picks Straight Up for Week 12
A Tight Playoff Race Headlines Week 12
Week 12 of the NFL season signifies the end of bye-weeks and the beginning of the final stretch of the season, where almost every game affects the standings and potential playoff matchups. This year the playoff race is close and exciting. The AFC is, for lack of a better term, an absolute mess this season. Every team but the Browns are within two games of a playoff spot.
The NFC is a bit better, but still, nothing (except maybe the Eagles winning the NFC East) is decided. With ever race so close, even the game between the Bengals and Browns can cause ripples in the standings. The game of the week is between the 8-2 Saints and the 7-3 Rams, but the many games this week have an impact on the playoff picture.
- Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City (-420) Odds via Sports Interaction
- Carolina Panthers at New York Jets: New York (+200) Odds via Sports Interaction
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: Atlanta (-375) Odds via Bodog
- Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: New England (-1250) Odds via Bodog
- Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers: Seattle (-280) Odds via William Hill
- New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Rams: Los Angeles (-145) Odds via William Hill
- Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers: Pittsburgh (-1000) Odds via BetOnline
Week 12 Previews And Moneyline Predictions
Two teams trending in the wrong direction meet up in Missouri for a crucial game with significant implications on the playoffs. The Chiefs are happy to host a home game for the first time this month. Kansas City is 3-1 straight up and ATS at home, losing to only Pittsburgh. The Bills’ season is spiralling out-of-control. The quarterback situation is a mess, and the team is giving up 45 points per game over their last three. Kansas City needs to go back to their early-season offensive approach and this week against Buffalo is a good time to do that. Take the Kansas City Chiefs to win their seventh game of the season.
One of the more intriguing games of the weekend is between the Panthers and Jets. Both teams are coming off their bye and playing good football through the first ten games. The Jets are 3-2 at home this season and 5-0 at home against the spread, which is best in the NFL this season. The Jets have already exceeded their preseason 2.5-3.5 over/under win total, and any more wins just prove the quality of Todd Bowes as a head coach.
In fact, the Jets have a good chance at pulling off the upset in Week 12. The Jets’ offence at home is excellent at controlling the clock, ranking second in time on the field. The Panthers offence is slow and methodical, attacking with dump offs to running backs and establishing play action. If the Jets can limit the Panthers’ total possessions, they can win.
The Falcons are finally looking like the Falcons of last season, winning two big games on the road to move back in a playoff spot. The Buccaneers are on the outside looking in but had arguably their best game of the season in Week 11 (which was initially their bye week before their Week 1 game against Miami was rescheduled). The Bucs have won three of the last four games in this series but will be relying on Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 12. Fitzpatrick is coming off a good performance, but so is the Falcons’ quarterback Matt Ryan.
Ryan is starting to look like the reigning league MVP and could have his best game of the season against one of the worst pass defences in the NFL. Expect a big performance from Ryan and Julio Jones (who has six 100-yard receiving games against Tampa in his career) with the Atlanta Falcons winning on Sunday with relative ease.
Over the last five seasons, Miami has fared well against the Patriots, going 3-7. However, Miami’s wins have come at home or in Week 17, not in a big Week 12 matchup with New England fighting for the top seed in the AFC. The Patriots are huge favourites in this game at -16.5 or around -1250 on the moneyline, both league highs for the season. Outside of the payout potential of a Miami upset, there is no reason not to bet on New England. Tom Brady is playing at an MVP-level, the Patriots defence is vastly improved, and the weather favours the Pats.
A frisky San Francisco teams came close to upsetting Seattle earlier in the Seattle, losing 12-9 in Seattle. Seattle is coming off a loss (which knocked them out of the second Wild Card spot) and needs a win to keep pace in the NFC. The Seahawks have won eight straight games against San Francisco. The 49ers do not have much to play for this season, but they have been competitive in most of their games. Seattle should win by expect the 49ers to keep it interesting.
Game of the week award goes to the New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Rams. The Saints are the hottest team in the league, winning eight straight games. They are the first team in NFL history to start a season 0-2 and then win eight consecutive games. The Saints are one of the more complete teams in the league, especially on offence where the combination of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara have formed one of the best running back tandems in the last decade. As great as the Saints have played the previous two months, they are a little banged up on defence (especially in the secondary) making them vulnerable to the Rams downfield attack.
What would have been the game of the week is now barely watchable, as the Packers are not good without Aaron Rodgers. Pittsburgh is a large favourite on Sunday night and rightfully so, as they are one of the home teams in the NFL. The Packers were shutout last week and will struggle to score against Pittsburgh, who allow the second-fewest points in the NFL. Best bet on this game is to take Pittsburgh and parlay it with another bet or two, to increase potential payouts.
Other Wagers And First Coach Fired Props
Other bets to make on this weekend of football include the over 44.0 on Chicago-Philadelphia (-110), under 43.5 on Denver-Oakland (-110) and Arizona +5.5 (-110). Philadelphia’s offence is amongst the best in the NFL, and the Bears can do some damage in the run game. Denver and Oakland are both hot messes. Earlier in the season (before both teams entered into a stretch of mediocrity), Denver won 16-10. Another low scoring game is in the cards for Sunday. The Cardinals played well on the road last week and should play better at home against the Jaguars.
Thanksgiving weekend in the NFL coincides with the start of coach firing season. Three of the worst coaches in the NFL – Bob McAdoo of the New York Giants, Hue Jackson of the Cleveland Browns and Chuck Pagano of the Indianapolis Colts – all seem to be safe until the end of the season. The best bet to get fired could be Dirk Koetter. Although the Buccaneers are 4-6 this season, they had higher expectations. Koetter also is not doing a great job making their franchise quarterback – Jameis Winston – more mature. If the Bucs lose their next two games, to fall to 8-4 and essentially eliminate themselves from the playoffs, Koetter could be let go.
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