UEFA Super Cup 2021 Betting Preview
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UEFA Super Cup 2021 Betting Preview

The winner of the 2021 Europa Cup – Villarreal – and Champions League winner – Chelsea – are about to square off for the 2021 Super Cup title. Let's have a look at the UEFA Super Cup betting picks.

The winners of the top UEFA tournaments from 2021 are ready to duke it out on August 11 – with Chelsea opening as the favourite over Villarreal. Can Chelsea pick up the win to ice their successful 2021 campaign, or will Villarreal continue their plucky underdog story with a Super Cup title? Find out in our UEFA Super Cup 2021 betting preview.

UEFA Super Cup Betting Predictions

  • Here are some stats and history on the Super Cup before moving on to our game predictions, including the winner and total goals.
  • UEFA Super Cup Stats and Details
  • Since 1999 (the end of the UEFA Cup Winners Cup), eight winners are Europa League Champs, 13 winners are Champions League Champs
  • Atletico Madrid is the only Europa winner (three times) dating back to 2009.
  • Chelsea is 1-3 in the Super Cup (lost last three)
  • First appearance for Villarreal in the Super Cup
  • Game date: August 11 at 3 PM EST
  • Game location: Windsor Park in Belfast

Chelsea vs. Real Villarreal Winner Predictions

To Win the MatchSports InteractionSports InteractionSports InteractionTo Win the Match
Chelsea1.68Draw (3.40)4.40Villarreal

As lovely a story Villarreal is – after winning their first Europa Cup (and major European title ever) – they are facing a loaded Chelsea squad, who could be even better than the one that beat Manchester City in the 2021 Champions League Finals.

Chelsea just added Romelu Lukaku (after a record-setting transfer fee) and had him pass his medical-only two days before the Super Cup. The addition gives Chelsea one of the best goal scorers in the world right now – to go with their stout defence and depth.

Villarreal has Some Scoring Depth

Villarreal will need their top goal scorer – Gerard Moreno – to really step up in this game. Moreno netted 23 goals in the La Liga last season (second to only Lionel Messi) and added seven more for his club during its run to the Europa League Championship. The club also got excellent production from Paco Alcacer during the Europa League. He matched his La Liga goal total, adding six goals for Villarreal during the 2021 Europa League.

Villarreal cf odds

Chelsea’s Defence as Good as Any in Football Right Now

However, Villarreal’s competition during the Europa Leagues is not as tough as the competition faced by Chelsea. Chelsea allowed only two goals during the 2020-21 Champions League Group Stage. They followed that up by limiting Atletico Madrid, Porto, Real Madrid, and Manchester City to only two more goals in seven games.  

Players like N’Golo Kante seem like they are only getting better for Chelsea. Even veterans like Thiago Silva (whose role may reduce this season) can come in as a sub and give Chelsea quality minutes. It also gives them multiple options to throw at Villareal’s best forwards. As fun as it would be for the fans if Villarreal won, it is hard to bet against Chelsea (especially as they will likely have more fans in the stands since the game is in the United Kingdom).

Chelsea To Win the 2021 Super Cup
1.68
Sports Interaction

Total Goals Betting Prediction

To Win the MatchSports InteractionSports InteractionSports InteractionTo Win the Match
Chelsea1.68Draw (3.40)4.40Villarreal

Scoring is generally plentiful in the Super Cup – or at least high over the last decade. The teams combined to score at least two goals in all but one of the previous 11 Super Cup matches – and the total has featured at least three goals in eight of the last 11 (72.7%).

We mentioned in our match betting preview, scoring on Chelsea is a tall task. Chelsea scoring on Villarreal – especially if Romelu Lukaku is in the lineup is another story. Villareal conceded 44 goals in 38 La Liga games last season – good numbers but spectacular.

The odds are also slanted, with the public betting more on the under than the over. It was the same in the 2021 Champions League Finals, and we said to bet on the under (which paid off). This time around, we are going with the opposite route. We can Villarreal – an unfamiliar opponent for Chelsea – sneaking in a goal when down 2-0 in the second half of the game to hit the over.

Over 2.5 Goals Totoal
2.07
Sports Interaction

Will there be Overtime?

Will There Be Over TimeSports Interaction
Yes3.35
No1.28
 

Overtime is pretty common in the UEFA Super Cup. Five of the last six Super Cup matches went into extra time (although only one of the five matches went to penalty kicks). It is reasonable to bet on extra time. The issue here is the potential payout from betting it will happen.

uefa super cup odds

If you look at the markets available at Sports Interaction, you see the match winner (or draw) and whether the game goes to extra time. Betting a draw on a championship soccer match is betting it will go to extra time. If you want to bet on the game going to extra time, just bet on a draw. You can net more profit – on something that has hit 83% of the time since 2015, including the 2019 game which featured Chelsea.  

Chelsea and Villarreal Draw
3.40
Sports Interaction

Best Online Sportsbooks to Bet on the UEFA Super Cup

Find the best online sportsbooks to bet on the 2021 UEFA Super Cup below. You can grab a welcome bonus if you are a new user to one of the sites listed, which you can use to bet on the Super Cup and plenty of other European football matches – whose 2021-22 seasons are just about to begin.