Canada vs. Costa Rica Qualifier Betting Guide
Sports Blog

Canada vs. Costa Rica Qualifier Betting Guide

Barring an epic collapse, Canada will be playing in its first FIFA World Cup since 1986. But first, there’s a CONCACAF qualifier game versus Costa Rica on March 24. The opposition badly needs a win to get their own World Cup bid. It’s a pivotal match and we have a complete betting guide to Canada vs. Costa Rica right here. 

This matchup is the first leg of a final three-game stretch to qualify for Qatar. Canada finds itself in first place with 25 points — four ahead of both Mexico and the United States. In fourth is Panama (17) and then Costa Rica behind them (16.). Only the top-three-finishing teams automatically go to the World Cup. The fourth will be forced into a playoff with the OCEANA winner (Australia in all likelihood). Fifth place will miss out entirely, which is why Costa Rica sorely needs points during this game.

Canada vs. Costa Rica Over/Under Betting Pick

Let's have a look at the World Cup betting odds.

OutcomeBet99Sports Interaction
Over 2.5 goals1.491.49
Under 2.5 goals2.552.55

After 11 matches in this final stage of CONCACAF qualifying, the Canadians remain unbeaten. They’ve won seven games and tied another four behind a table-best goal differential of +14. Canada leads the region in both goals for (19) and goals against (only 4). That equally-good ability on both ends of the pitch makes betting the game’s over/under particularly difficult.

Another thing complicating matters is the status of Alfonso Davies — not only Canada’s top playmaker but perhaps all of CONCACAF (sorry, Christian Pulisic). Davies has been sidelined since January due to myocarditis, a byproduct of COVID-19. Bayern Munich manager Julian Nagelsmann recently said Davies will remain out for two-to-four weeks, which would mean he won’t be available for Canada’s final three qualifiers (home against Jamaica on March 27 and away at Panama come April 3). Though, Canada played without the forward in the last three games, winning all matches 2-0 despite his absence.

We have a sense this game is a low-scoring affair. Never mind Davies status, but Costa Rica’s M.O. has been slopfest games. Only three of Costa Rica's 11 games during this stage have featured more than two goals. The country has contributed the third-least amount of goals (8) among all remaining eight teams, but at the same time, has surrendered the third-least scores (7) too.

We’re betting the under in this one. One more factor that might contribute to a low-scoring affair — the game will be held at Estadio Nacional in San Jose, which will be at full capacity for the first time since the pandemic. That home-field advantage should strengthen Costa Rica’s backline against a high-flying Canada attack.

Under 2.5 goals scored in Canada vs. Costa Rica game
Sports Interaction

Canada vs. Costa Rica Moneyline Betting Pick

OutcomeBet99Sports Interaction
Costa Rica2.902.90

Before offering our Canada-Costa moneyline betting pick, it’s worth our time (and money) to recap how the most recent game between these two sides went. Back in mid-November, Canada blanked Costa Rica 1-0 (as we said, under-two-goal games are a regular occurrence with the latter country). The lone score came from Jonathan David in the 57th minute.

The goal didn’t come easy. Canada dominated the game of possession battle with a 68-32 advantage and also outshot the opposition 14-2. Nonetheless, Costa Rica thwarted most chances by “parking the bus.” In fact, only two of Canada’s 14 shots were on goal. The aforementioned Canadian goal came from a miscue by the Costa Rican goalkeeper, who dropped an easy cross right into David’s lap.

The obvious question that every bettor needs to be asking is whether Costa Rica will follow a similar park-the-bus style? Realistically, they need to win out to automatically qualify for the World Cup — after Canada, they play El Salvador (away) and USA (home). But playing for the fourth-place playoff spot feels more plausible and in that scenario, Costa Rica just needs to avoid a loss next time out to keep pace with Panama.

Historically, Costa Rica plays the USA very strong, especially whilst at home. The Americans have lost eight in a row on the road here — including a 4-0 blanking four years ago that cost former coach Jurgen Klinsmann his job. Given that history, plus being the USA matchup is the very last qualifier, it feels more likely that Costa Rica will stick to its conservative ways against Canada. If so, they’ll play for a tie and we believe they’ll get it.

Betting ties on three-way soccer money lines might not be “sexy”, but it makes a whole lot of sense here. And it’s not like Canada would be opposed to getting one point — which might be enough to clinch their World Cup spot (it would need results from other teams too in that scenario). To us, this feels like a 0-0 game and at most, a 1-1 draw.

Draw result in Canada vs. Costa Rica game
Sports Interaction

How To Bet Canada In 2022 World Cup

If you want a single place to bet on Canada’s 2022 World Cup games — qualifiers and eventual tourney games (knock on wood) — then you can do so at one of the top Canada sportsbooks listed below. They’ll have you covered for every Canada match with industry-leading betting lines. Not only that, you can even take a stab at Canada winning the whole World Cup.

While you’re at these sites, look into their sportsbook bonuses for free play too. With these deals, you could score hundreds of dollars in free play BEFORE you even place a wager. The underneath table has details on the types of bonuses available right now.