The NFL season is here, and with it comes player props picks on the league’s biggest awards.
NFL Player Props Bets for 2021
So, what are the best NFL player props bets for the 2021 season? Find out below + plus two longshot underdogs to win the league MVP.
Best Bet to the Win MVP
To Win NFL MVP | ![]() |
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Patrick Mahomes | 5.50 |
Aaron Rodgers | 9.57 |
Josh Allen | 10.11 |
Tom Brady | 13.20 |
Matthew Stafford | 17.01 |
Lamar Jackson | 17.01 |
Russell Wilson | 17.01 |
Dak Prescott | 18.13 |
Justin Herbert | 21.01 |
Kyler Murray | 21.01 |
Ryan Tannehill | 26.01 |
Is this finally the year for Russell Wilson to get a vote for MVP? The Seattle Seahawks signal-caller was a top choice through the first half of the 2020 season – before cooling off in the second half.
However, even with a dip in numbers, Russell set a franchise record with 40 passing touchdowns and a career-high 68.8% competition rate. What also bodes well for Wilson is the Seahawks' decision to bring in offensive coordinator Shane Waldron.
Many of them blamed the Seahawks for not running the best offence to maximize Wilson’s skills and match the modern offences in the National Football League. That is why the move was one of the best (and most underrated) moves in the offseason.
Waldron was with the Rams from 2017 to 2020 – working in one of the most dynamic and modern offences in the NFL. What he brings to Seattle, will unlock Wilson more, giving him a chance to lead one of the best offences in the league. The talent around him is good too – with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett making one of the best receiver tandems in the league.
He is also an NFL ironman, never missing a game since coming into the league in 2012.
Best Underdog to Bet will the Win MVP
There are two underdogs we are considering sprinkling a little juice on to win NFL MVP – Derek Carr and Jimmy Garoppolo.
The Case for Carr
Carr has been an effective quarterback in his career – despite playing for a consistently mediocre Raiders’ squad. Carrr's interception rate in the last three seasons was 1.8% or lower every year, while his competition percentage is 67.3% or better om the same span.
Carr has also tossed at least 4000 yards the last three years, and a passer rating above 100 the last two years. Playing in Vegas, with fans this year could add some spotlight on the QB – giving him a chance to get more into the conversation if he can help the Raiders exceed expectations.
The Case for Jimmy G
Although the San Francisco 49ers made a splash in the 2021 NFL Draft picking Trey Lance, it looks like the team will roll with Garoppolo this season. One reason to bet on Jimmy G is the expectations for the 49ers this season.
The team suffered more than anyone last season – at times having nearly half this salary cap on the injury reserve (including Garoppolo who only played six games last season). When healthy, though, Jimmy G is a proven winner and makes the 49ers a formidable offence.
In 2019, when the 49ers went to the Super Bowl – Jimmy was great. He ranked fifth in passing touchdowns (27), third in yards per attempt (8.4), and fourth in competition percentage (69.1%). If can match or exceed those numbers – and help the 49ers win in the NFL’s most competitive division, he could sway some voters.
Best Bet to Win Comeback Player of the Year
To Win Comeback Player of the Year | ![]() |
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Dak Prescott | 3.05 |
Joe Burrow | 7.06 |
Saquon Barkley | 7.73 |
Christian McCaffrey | 8.12 |
Nick Bosa | 9.13 |
Jameis Winston | 9.76 |
Carson Wentz | 10.53 |
James Derwin | 13.65 |
Sam Darnold | 15.86 |
Von Miller | 20.07 |
While Dak Prescott is the favourite – the risk of injuries occurring, makes us want to look elsewhere for Comeback Player of the Year. Joe Burrow is an interesting pick – but he has not yet looked back to game speed.
This leads us to two running backs – Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey. Between the two-star backs, we are going with Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey was unbelievable in three games last year, putting up 374 yards and six touchdowns. Over 17 games, the projects out to 2120 yards and a record 34 touchdowns.
McCaffrey’s injury last year is not overly concerning. The team – out of the playoff hunt by Week 10 last year, opted to rest McCaffrey and save him for this season.
Best Bet to Win Defensive Player of the Year
To Win Defensive Player of the Year | ![]() |
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Aaron Donald | 5.04 |
Myles Garrett | 6.38 |
T.J. Watt | 8.17 |
Chase Young | 10.77 |
Nick Bosa | 11.76 |
Joey Bosa | 13.24 |
Khalil Mack | 23.20 |
Derwin James | 25.86 |
Devin White | 30.30 |
Is Aaron Donald fatigue possible in 2021 – voters looking to reward someone else this season? It is certainly a prospect and one reason why we are hesitant to bet on the preseason favourite. There has also never been a player to win the award four times.
The guy we are eyeballing to win the award is Myles Garrett. Garrett is one of the best defensive ends in the NFL – making the first-team all-pro in 2020. Garrett is averaging nearly a sack per game in his career, a number he would have exceeded last year if not for Covid.
Garrett missed two games due to testing positive and was not as effective in his return. Before going out, Garrett had 9.5 sacks and four forced fumbles in nine games. Upon his return, he has only four sacks and no forced fumbles in seven games (including the playoffs). He should be good to go this season and can win the award as the best player on a talented Cleveland Brown’s team.
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