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2021 NFL Draft Betting Preview
Find our 2021 NFL Draft betting guide – with the best picks and betting odds to help you nail your bet on the three-day event here!
The 2021 NFL Draft is nearly here, and to help you get ready – for what is shaping up to be one of the zaniest drafts in recent memory – we have the best 2021 NFL Draft betting picks. We do not waste your time with the foregone conclusions, such as Trevor Lawrence going first overall at 1.01 odds. We dive into the NFL props to find the best NFL betting value!
Best Player to Bet Will go in the Top Ten
While most experts have the top ten dominated by quarterbacks – not every team will pick one (who currently owns a first-round pick in the top ten). The surest lock (who is not a quarterback) to go in the top ten is tight end Kyle Pitts. However, with 1.01 odds to go in the top ten, there is no betting value (unless you parlay it with some other wagers). For value – the two guys below are worth betting will go in the top ten.
|To Go in the Top-10|
Why Micah Parsons will go in the Top Ten
As arguably the best defensive prospect in the draft, Parsons can make an impact on multiple teams – including a few currently drafting in the top-10. The Detroit Lions are in desperate need of help on the defensive side of the ball – as the Lions were the only team in the NFL to allow over 500 points last season. The Panthers are another team that could use some help on defence if they want to get back in the playoffs, and the Cowboys could select him at ten if the top DBs are chosen before it is their turn.
Pick: Micah Parsons (2.15) to Go in the Top Ten
Why Jaylen Waddle will go in the Top Ten
With three highly touted wide receivers, there is a chance we see them all going in the first round. If Atlanta opts to take Kyle Pitts with the fourth pick, the door swings wide open for at least two wide receivers going in the first round. Ja’Marr Chase is the top WR prospect and likely to end up reunited with Joe Burrow in Cincinnati.
That leaves Jaylen Waddle and Devonta Smith on the board with the Dolphins on the clock. Both guys are incredibly talented and NFL-ready prospects, but to fill the Dolphins’ biggest need – speed on the outside – we think they go with Waddle. If the Dolphins go with Smith, there is also a chance that either the Lions or Panthers forgo defence and draft a wide receiver.
Pick: Jaylen Waddle (1.95) to Go in the Top Ten
First Cornerback Drafted
|First Cornerback Drafted|
|Patrick Surtain II||1.44|
Even though Jaycee Horn’s stock is rising after an impressive pro day, the overall collegiate career, talent, and size of Patrick Surtain II make him the better bet will be the first cornerback off the boards. Surtain II had an excellent career at Alabama – and if he is as good as his father, a two-time All-Pro and three-time Pro Bowl selection, whoever selects him will have a stabilizing force on the outside for years to come.
Pick: Patrick Surtain II (1.44) First Cornerback Drafted
Total Defensive Players First Round
|Total Defensive Players First Round||Total Defensive Players First Round|
|Over 14.5||2.30||1.59||Under 14.5|
The early part of the draft dominated by offensive players means the back half of the draft needs to see a majority of defensive picked for this over to hit. However, the lack of depth on the defensive line in this draft makes it hard for us to see 15 defensive players going in the first round.
Additionally, after watching the Super Bowl and seeing the Chiefs’ offensive line decimated – we believe more teams will focus their first-round draft capital shoring up holes on the o-line and looking for defensive pieces later in the draft.
Pick: Under 14.5 (1.59) Defensive Players Taken in the First Round
First Running Back Picked
|First Running Back Selected|
It is a tossup between Najee Harris and Travis Etienne – both record-breaking, All-American, NCAA Champion running back – for the first RB to come off the board at the 2021 NFL Draft.
On one side is Harris – a bruising back out of Alabama, who is outstanding at making quick decisions in short yardages. On the other side is Etienne – a versatile back from Clemson with exceptional speed and soft hands. We can see only two teams taking a running back in the first round (more on that next), but we think Etienne will slide off the board first and offers better betting value.
Pick: Travis Etienne First Running Back Pick (2.40).
Running Backs First Round
|Total Running Backs Drafted Round 1||Total Running Backs Drafted Round 1|
|Over 0.5||1.47||2.50||Under 0.5|
The two teams we can see drafting a running back in the first round are the Miami Dolphins at 18 and the Pittsburgh Steelers at 24. The Dolphins need more speed and talent around Tua Tagovailoa – making Etienne a good pick. The Steelers need a running back who can get yards for himself as their offensive line has struggled to run protect – meaning they could draft Najee Harris. One of these teams could take an RB, so bet the over on the draft night.
Pick: Over 0.5 Running Backs in the First Round (1.47)
Best Online Sportsbooks for the NFL Draft
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