Andrew Wilson | Tue 11/05/2021 - 05:36 EDT

2021 UEFA Champions League Final Betting Preview

2021 UEFA Champions League Final Betting Preview
Which EPL club will win the 2021 UEFA Champions League Finals? Find out who we are backing – Chelsea or Manchester City – in our betting preview.

For the second time in three years, the Champions League Finals is an all-English Premier League affair. Manchester City – who went unbeaten in the tournament – opens as the favourite over Chelsea. Can Manchester City finally win the Champion Leagues, or will Chelsea provide the weekend theatrics in an upset victory? Find out in our UEFA Champions League Final Betting Preview.

Champions League Final Betting Preview: Manchester City vs. Chelsea

Home TeamSports InteractionSports InteractionSports InteractionAway Team
Manchester City1.833.24 (Draw)3.78Chelsea

Chelsea Stats and Info

  • 1-1 in Champions League Finals
  • Last Finals appearance: Win against Bayern Munich
  • Record this year: 8-3-1
  • Goal differential of +18
  • Key player state: Oliver Giroud 2.08 Goals/90
  • Edouard Mendy: 8 clean sheets
  • Chelsea playing as away side

Manchester City Stats and Info

  • First appearance in Championship League Finals
  • Best result: Lost in 2016 Semi-Finals to Real Madrid
  • Record this year: 11-1-0
  • Goal differential +21
  • Key player stat: Phil Foden 9 goal-creating actions
  • Ederson: 7 clean sheets
  • Man City playing as the home side

After a dominating performance in the group stage – including a record-tying one goal conceded – Manchester City pushed its way through to the club’s first Champions League Finals, where they will face Chelsea.

Chelsea also had a successful campaign – allowing four goals total over the Group Stage and Knockout rounds (matching Manchester City). Everything is pointing towards a low-scoring affair, reminiscent of the 2012 Finals – a 1-1 victory by Chelsea in penalty kicks over Bayern Munich.    

For the 2020-21 EPL season – the clubs split their two meetings, with Man City winning the first game 3-1 and Chelsea besting Man City on May 8 by a score of 2-1.

Manchester City opens as the favourite over Chelsea on soccer betting odds – and we like them to win. However, we expect this game to be close – and deciding on Man City winning during the 90 minutes or eventually winning in extra time/penalty kicks is the main thing to decide.

The Finals has been decided in extra time/penalty kicks three times in the last decade – including a 4-1 win by Real Madrid over Atletico Madrid (in what was arguably the most chaotic Finals in recent memory). The 1-1 Finals in 2012 (when Chelsea won) and 2016 are more of what we are expecting to see on Saturday.

The odds on the game ending in a draw are certainly attractive as well. And what we are betting on will happen on May 29.

Pick: 2021 Champions League Finals is a Draw (3.24)

Goals Over/Under

Goal TotalSports InteractionSports InteractionGoal Ttoal
Over 2.52.111.65Under 2.5

Eight goals. Four apiece. That is all Chelsea and Manchester City allowed in 24 games (12 each). Neither club allowed more than a goal in a game. Maybe one club implodes on defence in the finals – but both clubs imploding is unlikely.

The line is set at 2.5 (standard for most European soccer games). As these two teams have been so stout on defence throughout the tournament, 2.5 goals almost feel too high. We are backing the under on this match – as we can see it ending in a 1-1 draw and going to penalty kicks (which does not affect the over). Back the under before the game kicks off in Turkey on May 29.

Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (1.65) in the Finals  

Total Goals for Home Team and Total Goals for Away Team

Total Away GoalsSports Interaction
2.14
12.29
24.70
3+12.00

My favourite prop bets on the Champions League Finals are total goals for each club. The losing side of the Finals has scored 0 or 1 goal every time since 2006. If you think Chelsea is going to lose, betting on them to score none or once is a good bet – as you can profit if either outcome hits. The same goes with Manchester City – especially if you are betting on them to be shut out.

Pick: Chelsea (Road Team) to Score 0 Goals (2.14) or 1 Goal (2.29)

Total Home GoalsSports Interaction
3.70
12.55
23.30
3+4.30

The winning side of the Champions League Finals offers a broader range of scores. We have seen a few clubs score three or more goals – but expecting that type of scoring in this matchup is foolish. We like Manchester City scoring at most twice – once during the first 90 minutes and a possible clincher in extra time. The odds are good enough to bet on both wagers and profit if either hit.

Pick: Manchester City (Home Team) to Score 1 Goal (2.55) or 2 Goals (3.30)

Best Online Sportsbooks to Bet on the Champions League Finals

Find the best online sportsbooks to bet on the Champions League Finals below. Sign up through the links underneath to snag an exclusive welcome bonus, which you can use to bet on the Champions League winner and other markets on the game.

Betway Promo – Win if Your Team Scores First

Betway is running an excellent Champions League Finals promotion – where they will pay you as a winner if your team scores first – no matter the final result. Maximum wager $20, visit Betway for full promotion details. 

Category : Sports Blog

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