Andrew Wilson | Fri 07/05/2021 - 03:27 EDT

Canelo Alvarez vs. Billy Joe Saunders Betting Preview

Canelo Alvarez vs. Billy Joe Saunders Betting Preview
Super middleweight legend Canelo Alvarez takes on undefeated Billy Joe Saunders on May 8 in Texas. Find our thoughts on the fighters and best bets on the fight here.

Alvarez vs. Saunders Betting Preview

The two super-middleweights have 85 career wins – but only one can leave the ring the victory. Will it be Canelo Alvarez or Billy Joe Saunders? Find out our picks and best prop bets in our Canelo Alvarez vs. Billy Joe Saunders betting preview.

Canelo Alvarez Stats and Info

  • Record: 55-1-2
  • 37 victories by knockout
  • 5’ 9” with a reach of 70.5 inches
  • Born July 18, 1990
  • Last fight: Feb 2021 – won in the third round by retirement
  • Currently holds WBA (Super), WBC (Super), and The Ringer Super-Middleweight titles

Billy Joe Saunders Stats and Info

  • Record: 30-0-0
  • 14 victories by knockout
  • 5’ 11” with a reach of 71 inches
  • Born August 30, 1989
  • Last fight: Dec 2020 – won by unanimous decision
  • Currently holds WBO Super-Middleweight title
Fighter 1Sports InteractionSports InteractionSports InteractionFighter 2
Canelo Alvarez1.0925.00 (Draw)5.82Billy Joe Saunders

One of the greatest fighters of all-time – Canelo Alvarez – takes on undefeated Billy Joe Saunders in the biggest boxing fight of the year (so far). The fight takes place in Arlington, Texas – with the main card kicking off at 8:00 PM EST and the main event starting between 10:30 PM and 11:00 PM EST.

Canelo Alvarez enters the fight as a deserving favourite at Sports Interaction. He has reeled off quality victory after quality victory – dominating other top contenders, including Callum Smith (a much bigger fighter) back in December.

The said cannot be said about Billy Joe Saunders – whose two WBO Super-Middleweight title defences were against some lower quality opponents.

The only advantage Saunders has over Canelo is the fact he is a southpaw. Canelo often starts slow southpaws – taking the first few rounds to learn his opponent’s movement and approach.

The challenge for Saunders – unless he somehow wins in the first three rounds – is once Canelo has figured out his opponent, he is essentially unbeatable. His boxing IQ and skills are the best in the weight division – maybe all of boxing right now.

Canelo also has an advantage in conditioning – having fought multiple times the last six months and focusing the previous year and a half on training and conditioning.

If Saunders had spent the last year and a half organizing more fights and training – not getting himself in trouble with the governing bodies of boxing – he might have a shot against Canelo. However, he was busy with other stuff and will get taken to task by Canelo on Saturday night.

Pick: Canelo Alvarez (1.09) to Win the Fight

Canelo Alvarez vs. Billy Joe Saunders Best Prop Bets

As a huge title fight, there are plenty of prop bets available. Of the ones available, the prop bets below are our favourite picks.

Will Alvarez Be Knocked Down During the Fight?

Alvarez Knocked DownBetwayBetwayAlvarez Knocked Down

When a fighter has 58 career fights and never has been knocked down, you should not bet he will be knocked down. The closest Alvarez has come to a knockdown was against Jose Cotto – back in 2010. Cotto nearly knocked down Alvarez, but the ropes held him up – and the referee did not score it as a knockdown.

In his only career loss – against Floyd Mayweather Jr. – Alvarez was not knocked down.

And even if you think Saunders has the power to knockdown Alvarez – which is true for most super-middleweights – Saunders does not have the boxing IQ to outsmart Alvarez. That is really what you need to break his streak of 58 fights without being knocked down.

Pick: Alvarez Not to be Knocked Down (1.14)

We suggest parlaying this bet with other wagers to get the juice up. Also noted that some sportsbooks - including Betway - have Canelo Alvarez listed as Saul Alvarez. They are the same person. 

Total Rounds in the Fight

Total RoundsBetwayBetwayTotal Rounds
Over 10.51.572.25Under 10.5

Over 10.5 1.57 Under 10.5 2.25

Unless you want to bet on Alvarez to win by decision at 2.25 at Betway – the best wager to place on this fight is under 10.5 rounds. If you bet this prop and Alvarez to win the fight on a separate slip, you will win more than betting him to win by decision.

While Saunders is undefeated – he has not fought much the last year – just one fight between May 2021 and November 2019. It also seems he has not been training as hard as he should be. Both things hurt his chances of lasting all 12 rounds.

As Alvarez will start the fight slow and learn the tendencies of Saunders – we are not betting it will end early - that is why we are avoiding the other total rounds props. However, we do think the fight will end before the 12 rounds are up, and are betting Alvarez gets the job done before the midpoint of the tenth round.

Pick: Under 10.5 Rounds (2.25)

Best Online Sportsbook to Bet on Alvarez vs. Saunders

Get ready for the upcoming fight between Canelo Alvarez by checking out the online sportsbooks below. They are offering new users who join through the links underneath an exclusive welcome bonus – which they can use to bet on the Alvarez-Saunders fight and the other fights on the card.

Category : Sports Blog

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