2021 CFL Week 11 Betting Predictions
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2021 CFL Week 11 Betting Predictions

Get ready for this weekend’s batch of CFL games with our Week 11 betting predictions.

The Canadian Football League heads into Week 11 with three games on the schedule. The standings are tightening up as the CFL Playoffs approach with most teams playing meaningful games this weekend. We cover and predict the winners of the three games in our CFL Week 11 betting predictions below.

Can Edmonton Rebound at Home Against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers?

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The Edmonton Elks return home after an ugly 30-3 loss to the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Week 10 – looking for answers as their season slips away. The Elks are making a change at quarterback this week but the move is not going to help them beat the best team in the CFL.

Winnipeg is a wagon this season. They have a +123-point differential through nine games – 108 points better than the next best team. They force the most turnovers, allow the fewest yards per play, and have the highest-scoring offence in the league. They look better every week – winning their last five games by at least 15 points and are consistently heavy favourites on CFL betting lines.

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Edmonton is starting a rookie in Week 11. The plans are more likely to get a feel for Taylor Cornelius and his future with the franchise than winning the game. Cornelius has yet to prove he is a starter in the CFL, tossing twice as many picks as touchdowns in limited work this season.

The Elks need to score against Winnipeg to have a chance – as they have allowed them to score 67 points in two games this season against the Blue Bombers. I doubt they can keep up with Edmonton offensively and do not have the defence to cover for the offence.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers To Win the Game
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Will the Montreal Alouettes Improve to 3-0 Against Ottawa this Season?

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Montreal pull off a gutsy win against Ottawa last week, scoring in the final minute of the game to clinch a 20-16 victory. The results were much different than their Week 5 game – which Montreal won 51-29 (in the highest-scoring game of the 2021 CFL season).

There is a lot to like about Montreal this season. Their rushing offence is 151.25 yards per game this season – 45 more yards than the next best team. They can also fling it around the field as good as anyone in 2021. The Als average 13.38 yards per pass – tops in the CFL. In comparison, Ottawa ranks last in yards per play this year at 5.66.

Another reason to like Montreal is their play on the road. The Als are 3-2 ATS on the road this season compared to 0-3 at home. They average 437 yards on the road, which is inflated a bit due to the 471 they put up in Ottawa in Week 5 but still impressive.

Ottawa does not have the consistency this season to string together a second good performance against Montreal. They have a tendency to turn the ball over. They managed to avoid it last week and still lost. Expecting them to do it again this week is unlikely. Go with Montreal to run all over Ottawa and sweep the season series against their East Division rivals.   

Montreal Alouettes To Win the Game
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Calgary and the BC Lion meet in a Pivotal Battle of Four Win Teams

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Calgary – after two upset wins against Saskatchewan – is back in the playoff picture, half a game behind the BC Lions. The Stampeders' resurgence is due to Bo Levi Mitchell. Mitchell struggled early in the season but is putting it together the last two weeks. While he is still turning the ball over, his competition percentage in the last two games is 67.9%.

When Bo Levi Mitchell plays well, he is one of the greatest QBs in CFL history. He entered the 2021 CFL Season with a 77-18-2 record – the highest winning percentage in the history of the league.

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The Lions are tracking in the opposite direction of the Stampeders. The defence is allowing 30.5 points per game during their two-game skid – compared to 14.3 during their three-game winning streak. Mike Reilly is also slumping over the last two games. Following three straight games with over 300 yards passing (and a 7-1 TD-INT ratio), Reilly only has 436 yards and two TDs during the Lions losing streak.

The Lions are also struggling at home. Teams are outgaining them at BC Place by over 100 yards per game. In their last two home games – both losses – the Lions rushed for 38 yards total. The numbers are bad and the pressure is on BC over the Stampeders.

They should play better than 19.0 yards per game rushing – thanks to the bye. However, we like what we are seeing from Calgary and think they are only going to get better over the final six weeks of the season.   

Calgary Stampeders To Win the Game
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