Best Bets To Make For UFC 271
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Best Bets To Make For UFC 271

The upcoming UFC 271 fight card on February 12 features a massive rematch between Israel Adesanya and Robert Whittaker for the middleweight championship. In this article, we’re giving you the best bets for UFC 271, especially that main event. Keep reading for our expert betting advice. 

Adesanya vs. Whittaker Betting Picks

It’s been over two years since these two met in the octagon at UFC 243. Back then, the roles were reversed. Whittaker entered that bout as the championship-holder and betting favorite, but that’s now Izzy entering UFC 271. This is worth knowing before making our Adesanya vs. Whittaker picks and speaking of which, let’s take a look at the current betting odds set by top Canada sportsbooks:

No one should be surprised at the betting line to win for "The Last Stylebender." Adesanya dominated the first matchup before knocking out Whittaker for good in the second round. Since then, he’s remained unbeaten in the middleweight division. Therefore, if you’re of the belief that Adesanya is winning the rematch, then you’ll find better betting value elsewhere than the moneyline. Though, that rationale doesn’t apply to those who think Whittaker is avenging the loss. He’s more than a 2-to-1 underdog on the moneyline — which is a hefty payout if he wins.

We’re going to be completely upfront and say Adesanya is winning again — only it won’t come nearly as easily as the first did. We’ll explain why that is and how you can bet to take advantage of that scenario below:

Over/Under 4.5 Rounds

Whittaker's biggest mistake in the first fight was his game plan. He charged out of the gates and put the pressure on Adesanya. That may work against many fighters, but not against one with a seven-inch reach advantage as Adesanya has over Whittaker. Cause of that faulty gameplan, Whittaker was knocked down twice (before the KO, he was also saved by the bell in round one). 

You almost have to assume Whittaker won't follow that strategy again at UFC 271. Adesanya has made quick work of opponents that've followed that same blueprint, including Paulo Costa. The current champ's striking ability is just too elite to succumb to an aggressive gameplan.

However, where Adesanya struggles more is on the ground, as Jan Blachowicz proved. Blachowicz is the only man to ever beat Adesanya, doing so at light heavyweight when Izzy tried to move up. In that bout, Blachowicz stayed patient rather than head-hunting, waiting for the perfect takedown — which he pulled off multiple times. Adesanya lost that night by decision and similarly, at UFC 271, Whittaker's best path to victory is going to the scorecards.

The problem for Whittaker is he doesn't have a 20-pound advantage over Adesanya like Blachowicz did, therefore, that wrestling strategy will be much harder to pull off. And while we believe this Adesanya vs. Whittaker rematch will be much more competitive than the first go-around, it still ends in an Izzy win — only this time by decision. If so, that means the over is hitting and that outcome pays much better than Adesanya's moneyline. 

Alright, if you want to take on the extra risk, but also maximize a possible payout, then the prop bet above should be right up your alley. Not only must you pick who wins, but also how.

Look, we're on record saying Adesanya by decision so that's our pick. The line for that exact outcome is 2.50. Compare that to our previous pick — over 4.5 rounds at 1.74 — and the betting odds aren't even close. Of course, the over 4.5 rounds bet pays out if Whittaker wins by decision, whereas this prop is an Adesnaya victory or bust. As a bettor, you have to weigh the reward and risk before making a choice, but just know, we're jumping on the Adesanya decision win here.     

Derrick Lewis vs. Tai Tuivasa Betting Pick

The semi-main event at UFC 271 pits these two heavyweights against one another. The event takes place in Houston, which is actually Lewis' hometown. Whereas some might think the home-crowd advantage is a positive, we do not. Lewis openly said the pressure of fighting at home was too much when he did the same at UFC 265. That's why we're picking Tuivasa to pull off the upset over Lewis here!

How To Bet On UFC 271?

We just gave you three free UFC bets, the question is, are you taking our advice or not? The choice is yours, but you can place bets on UFC 271 at one of the betting sites below. These sites not only have up-to-date odds on every single fight but also lucrative sportsbook bonuses to take advantage of! Check out the table below to get started!